Articles
| Open Access | FORECASTING CO2 EMISSION IN UZBEKISTAN USING MACHINE LEARNING TECHNIQUES
Nurbek Khalimjonov , Tаshkеnt Stаtе Univеrsity оf Ecоnоmics, Tаshkеnt, Еcоnоmеtrics dеpаrtmеnt, 10066, UzbеkistаnAbstract
Greenhouse gas increases and climate change are both influenced by human-caused carbon dioxide emissions. A key component of the fight against climate change and global warming is the regulation and reduction of carbon dioxide emissions. The transition to renewable energy sources and the reduction of emissions of greenhouse gases are topics of active discussion on a global and national scale. This is why it's critical to predict future greenhouse gases emissions in order to plan accordingly. This research uses two separate machine learning algorithms to effectively predict Uzbekistan's CO2 emissions. R2, MSE, and MAE were the three statistical metrics used to assess the study's efficacy. Artificial neural networks had an R2 of 93.8 percent, an MSE of 0.007, and an MAE of 0.005. Decision trees had an R2 of 90.1 percent, an MSE of 0.011, and an MAE of 0.009. By comparing the two models, we find that ANN outperforms decision trees and produces more accurate predictions.
Keywords
Carbon emission, ANN, The Decision tree, Uzbekistan
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