Articles
| Open Access | Neural Policy-Based Decision Framework for Reliable Future Estimation in Industrial Logistics
Dr. Aarav Sharma , Department of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, Institute of Advanced Computational Research, New Delhi, IndiaAbstract
The increasing complexity of industrial logistics networks has created significant challenges in achieving accurate future estimation, efficient resource allocation, and adaptive operational decision-making. Conventional logistics planning approaches generally depend on historical analysis, predefined optimization rules, and static forecasting mechanisms, which often demonstrate limitations when facing uncertain demand, dynamic supply conditions, and rapidly changing operational environments. This research proposes a neural policy-based decision framework designed to improve reliable future estimation in industrial logistics through adaptive intelligence, sequential decision-making, and learning-based optimization.
The proposed framework integrates neural policy learning principles with predictive analysis mechanisms to enable logistics systems to evaluate operational states, estimate future conditions, and generate optimized decisions. The theoretical foundation of the framework is derived from intelligent decision systems, reinforcement learning, game-theoretic optimization, and adaptive control concepts. Previous studies on autonomous decision-making demonstrate that intelligent agents can improve performance by continuously evaluating environmental conditions and selecting optimized actions. Game-theoretic approaches for automated maneuvering have shown the effectiveness of strategic decision models in complex environments involving multiple interacting entities (Austin et al., 1990; Cruz et al., 2001).
This research extends these principles toward industrial logistics by developing a conceptual decision framework that considers demand uncertainty, resource constraints, operational interactions, and future state estimation. The framework employs neural policy mechanisms to learn relationships between current operational conditions and future decision outcomes. Unlike traditional forecasting approaches, the proposed model emphasizes continuous adaptation, allowing logistics systems to improve decision accuracy through experience-based learning.
Keywords
Neural policy learning, Industrial logistics, Future estimation, Reinforcement learning
References
F. Austin, G. Carbone, M. Falco, H. Hinz, and M. Lewis, “Game theory for automated maneuvering during air-to-air combat,” Journal of Guidance, Control, and Dynamics, vol. 13, no. 6, pp. 1143–1149, 1990.
J. Cruz, M. Simaan, A. Gacic, H. Jiang, B. Letelliier, M. Li, and Y. Liu, “Game-theoretic modeling and control of a military air operation,” IEEE Transactions on Aerospace and Electronic Systems, vol. 37, no. 4, pp. 1393–1405, 2001.
J. Kaneshige and K. Krishnakumar, “Artificial immune system approach for air combat maneuvering,” in Intelligent Computing: Theory and Applications V, vol. 6560. SPIE, 2007, pp. 68–79.
J. Poropudas and K. Virtanen, “Game-theoretic validation and analysis of air combat simulation models,” IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics - Part A: Systems and Humans, vol. 40, no. 5, pp. 1057–1070, 2010.
D.-L. Luo, C.-L. Shen, B. Wang, and W.-H. Wu, “Air combat decision-making for cooperative multiple target attack using heuristic adaptive genetic algorithm,” In 2005 international conference on machine learning and cybernetics, vol. 1. IEEE, 2005, pp. 473–478.
Y. Ma, G. Wang, X. Hu, H. Luo, and X. Lei, “Cooperative occupancy decision making of multi-uav in beyond-visual-range air combat: A game theory approach,” IEEE Access, vol. 8, pp. 11 624–11 634, 2020.
S. Mulgund, K. Harper, K. Krishnakumar, and G. Zacharias, “Air combat tactics optimization using stochastic genetic algorithms,” in SMC’98 Conference Proceedings. 1998 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (Cat. No. 98CH36218), vol. 4. IEEE, 1998, pp. 3136–3141.
V. Viswanathan, M. H. Mirza, D. S. Jatav, N. Mukhi, T. Gupta and S. B. Goyal, "Deep Reinforcement Learning Model to Enhance Accuracy of Forecasting in Supply chain Optimization," 2025 International Conference on Intelligent & Innovative Practices in Engineering & Management (IIPEM), Singapore, Singapore, 2025, pp. 1-6, doi: 10.1109/IIPEM65914.2025.11548310.
X. Hu, P. Luo, X. Zhang, and J. Wang, “Improved ant colony optimization for weapon-target assignment,” Mathematical Problems in Engineering, vol. 2018, no. 1, p. 6481635, 2018.
X. Wang, Y. Wang, X. Su, L. Wang, C. Lu, H. Peng, and J. Liu, “Deep reinforcement learning-based air combat maneuver decision-making: literature review, implementation tutorial and future direction,” Artificial Intelligence Review, vol. 57, no. 1, p. 1, 2024.
Article Statistics
Downloads
Copyright License
Copyright (c) 2026 Dr. Aarav Sharma

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.