The article is devoted to studying the dependence of the maximum flow rates of water discharged into the lower pool through reservoir dams on weather and climatic conditions, using the Tokhtogul reservoir as an example. For this purpose, a statistical assessment of the relationship between air temperature and maximum water flows discharged from the Tohktogul reservoir in the autumn and winter seasons into its lower pool () was carried out and a regression equation for this relationship was obtained. As a result, it was possible to predict the maximum water flows of the Naryn river in the autumn-winter seasons depending on air temperature.

reservoir, dam, tailwater, maximum water flow, air temperature, flood, assessment.

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